Stereotypically, dating in the Bay Area is pretty rough for straight men – too many tech workers competing for too few women. The data backs this up: the Bay Area has about 6% more men than women in their 20s. London and New York, meanwhile, both tilt female by about 5%. But does an 11% swing in the ratio really matter? Turns out yes – a lot!

In my simulation, a 99th percentile woman (so, 1-in-100) moving from London to the Bay Area can expect to match with someone ~50% rarer (1-in-92 → 1-in-136). On the other hand, men’s typical matches become 33% less rare (1-in-108 → 1-in-73).

Reposting the twitter thread about our recent paper with Rich Turner and David Krueger.

This post is about a card game my friend Neel Alex taught me that’s become very popular in our social circles. The game is similar to liar’s dice and bullshit, and uses poker hands. The game is fast-paced and very fun: you get to bluff and guess and mess with other people’s guesses.

Reposting the lightly edited twitter thread about our paper with Egor, Bruno, Tegan and David.